Ukraine and Russia will probably be pushed into negotiations by Donald Trump, but the military conditions for a deal are not met. Therefore, there is little room for optimism. Some countries might use the negotiations as an excuse to reduce or delay military assistance to Ukraine, and that can weaken Ukraine's position. I also draw some parallels to the Korean War, where ceasefire negotiations took several years. 0:00 Intro 0:32 Peace talks do not mean peace 1:16 Book plug 1:40 Peace talks during the Korean War 4:21 Negotiations can lead to less support 5:12 An agreement is unlikely now 6:10 Why Russia think they are winning 7:02 Why Ukraine think they are winning 7:52 Trump's assumptions about a deal The mentioned article: Small State Naval Diplomacy in the Korean War : Denmark and the MS Jutlandia By Anders Puck Nielsen https://en.kims.or.kr/issubrief/kims-periscope/peri348/ The mentioned book: Coalition Navies during the Korean War https://www.routledge.com/Coalition-Navies-during-the-Korean-War-Understanding-Combined-Naval-Operations/Bowers/p/book/9781032626529 Support the channel and subscribe to newsletter: https://www.logicofwar.com/ Follow me on Bluesy: https://bsky.app/profile/anderspucknielsen.dk
Found this @anderspucknielsen.dk video on the dangers of over egging peace talks interesting
youtu.be/lNZ56C-f4a8?...
Any "peace talks" involving the Putin regime, which wants the "peace" of a conquerer, must be accommpanied by vigorous support for Ukrainian defenders. youtu.be/lNZ56C-f4a8?...
Goed betoog van @anderspucknielsen.dk over de risico's van onderhandelingen en de verwachting dat er snel vrede komt: Landen gaan excuses verzinnen om hun bijdrage alvast te verminderen, “terwijl dit soort gesprekken jaren kunnen voortslepen”.
We shall not ease the support for Ukraine but instead ramp up the support unit russia can't continue financially. Peace after victory. Slava Ukraini ❤️🇺🇦 youtu.be/lNZ56C-f4a8
Wie immer, sehr solide: @anderspucknielsen.dk über die Tücken schnell aufgenommener, aber sich lange hinziehender Friedensverhandlungen. Seine These: Sobald die Verhandlungen beginnen, machen sich viele der Unterstützer vom Acker, selbst wenn es noch nicht mal einen Waffenstillstand gibt.
youtu.be/lNZ56C-f4a8?...
@anderspucknielsen.dk #ukraine www.youtube.com/watch?v=lNZ5...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=lNZ5...
Do not let off, is the message and do not think this will be over starting on 20 Januari. Please keep supporting Ukraine!!! www.youtube.com/watch?v=lNZ5...
youtu.be/lNZ56C-f4a8?...
Video from @anderspucknielsen.dk Ukraine Peace talks will take a long time #ukraine #UkraineWar #ukrainian youtu.be/lNZ56C-f4a8?...
youtu.be/lNZ56C-f4a8?...
Peace talks will take a long time
by @anderspucknielsen.dk — Good stuff as always: "Peace talks will take a long time" www.youtube.com/watch?v=lNZ5...
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